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    Home » News » Ethereum’s price may drop as ETF “novelty” wears off and supply increases
    Ethereum's price may drop
    News

    Ethereum’s price may drop as ETF “novelty” wears off and supply increases

    Kent TenixBy Kent TenixJuly 20, 2024No Comments2 Mins Read
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    Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, predicts that if Ethereum’s supply keeps increasing, it will return to levels seen before the Ethereum merger in September 2022.

    An analyst warns that Ethereum’s price may drop after the initial excitement around spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) fades, especially if its supply continues to grow at the current rate.

    Crypto trader and Into The Cryptoverse founder, Benjamin Cowen, posted on X on July 19, discussing the significant Ethereum Merge. 

    If the supply of #ETH keeps increasing by ~60k/month like it has been since April, then by Dec the supply will be back to what it was at the merge.

    Could be a narrative that people focus on later this year, when they should actually focus on monetary policy.

    Thread

    👇

    — Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) July 19, 2024

    This occurred in September 2022, transitioning Ethereum (ETH) to its current proof-of-stake consensus model.

    After the Ethereum Merge, Ethereum became deflationary, and its supply decreased by about 455,000 ETH by April 2024.

    However, since then, the supply has grown by around 150,000 ETH. Cowen suggests that if this growth continues, the supply could return to what it was before the Merge over two years ago.

    Benjamin Cowen

    “If the supply of ETH keeps increasing at 60,000 ETH per month, then we will see the supply revert to what it was back at the merge,” Cowen stated.

    Ethereum price may drop below its current level by September

    Moreover, he thinks that in 1.5 years, Ether’s price will probably be higher than it is now. However, there is a good chance it will go down in the next 3–6 months. Currently, Ether is trading at $3,490, according to CoinMarketCap.

    Just a few days ago, onchain analyst Leon Waidmann mentioned that Ethereum is experiencing a “supply crisis.” 

    On July 16, Waidmann posted on X, saying that most investors don’t understand how “tight” the ETH supply is.

    📉#Ethereum Supply Crisis Looming!📈

    Exchange balances down to 10.2% while 39.3% of #ETH is locked in smart contracts.

    Most investors still don't realize how tight the ETH supply side is and how big the effect of the ETF will be! pic.twitter.com/uED4DFx5C6

    — Leon Waidmann | Onchain Insights🔍 (@LeonWaidmann) July 16, 2024

    Five spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are set to start trading on the Chicago Board Options Exchange on July 23, as long as regulatory approval is confirmed, CBOE announced on July 19.

    On May 23, the SEC approved rule changes allowing the listing of these spot Ether (ETH) ETFs.

    The five ETFs launching are the 21Shares Core Ethereum ETF, Fidelity Ethereum Fund, Invesco Galaxy Ethereum ETF, VanEck Ethereum ETF, and Franklin Ethereum ETF. 

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    Kent Tenix
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    Kent, a Senior Web3 Writer at Btcpronews.com, produces insightful guides and reviews on cryptocurrencies and exchanges. With an engineering background and over four years of freelance writing experience, she simplifies complex Web3 topics into accessible content. Before focusing on Web3, she assisted various SMBs in Canada and the US across digital marketing, SaaS, and IT niches.

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